SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
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By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.

Your Business Travel And Your Diet

Business travel could be a profitable, enjoyable and even exciting experience. The moment you spend conducting business in other destinations increases your business reach and opportunity and increases you as a person too. Getting skilled at business trips is a strong business objective because there is knowledge related to business travel and being productive on the road that is not possible to learn if you don’t get out there and travel.Many of the knowledge associated with business travel are locked up in how you can live productively on your way. This is especially important when you’re on a long business travel. The life of moving in and out of hotels, traveling by car or airplane and also the challenges of the job could wear down even the most sturdy and knowledgeable business traveler.Keeping healthful eating while traveling for business is a critical challenge and one that really can only be attained with a few serious planning. You will finally find yourself consuming in a lot of dining establishments on your way and that kind of meals does not provide itself to a diet that is intended for fat loss or for a diet you must sustain for wellness reasons.The first but greatest step forward to accomplishing diet plan targets while traveling is to converse your wants to your traveling companions. In a business environment, there is normally a lot of encouragement to eat and drink well. Everybody is on the cost account so it’s an easy task to go crazy. Yet if you permit your coworkers and customers understand you’ve convincing reasons to sustain a disciplined diet, most of the time they will regard that and find methods to allow you to become successful.Another magic of business travel isn’t to rely on restaurants for your foods totally. If you may get out to a market early in the travel and buy some fresh fruit and vegetables, you can prepare some healthy food in your room to satiate and keep you on track. Then in the event that you have to eat in a restaurant to talk about business with colleagues or build relationships with the client, your appetite will be low so you can get by on a smaller amount.You can also be a voice for small amounts in the choice of eating establishments for your foods. Obviously, fast food is not going to be considered a good choice for you. So when there is discussion about where you can stop, you can vote for a spot that will serve a good variety of meal choices including some healthy choice menu options. In that way if you must eat in a restaurant, you’ll find items to order that can be prepared in accord with your diet requirements.You’ll be amazed how many allies you will find both in your travel associates and with those you are doing business with at your place who’ve diet plan targets but haven’t been successful because of the temptations of the life on the road. Your open statement of intent to stay to your diet regardless of the rigors of business trip could be a huge motivation to them. Furthermore, because they build partnerships in your purpose to reside wholesome, it’s entirely possible to consider your business to a healthy restaurant or deli and permit the rest of the party to go to a place of their liking. As long as this is performed without bitterness, everybody wins.Avoiding alcohol and snack foods could be a large concern on the road too. Very often in a seminar setting or within a lengthy day of conversations, the sponsor organization or office will give you biscuits or other treats to assist the conference go well by keeping everybody’s blood sugar up. These snacks are going to be difficult to resist. One way to help yourself in that situation is to be prepared with your own snacks in your brief case to bring out to replacement for the fattening food being supplied.By thinking ahead about your diet plan needs and how you will offer yourself while traveling, it’s possible to sustain a healthy lifestyle even during business trips. By supplementing theses steps with exercise and rest, you may find that your weather the travel much better than those who abuse their bodies and find yourself more productive as a business person as well because you made the effort to eat well on the road.

US Markets in green on Friday; Dow 30 up over 345 points, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500 up nearly 1%

US Markets were trading in the green on Friday with Dow 30 trading at 30,678.80, up by 1.14%. While S&P 500 was trading at 3,701.66, up by 0.98% and Nasdaq Composite 10,690.60 was also up by 0.71 per cent

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US Markets in green on Friday; Dow 30 up over 345 points, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500 up nearly 1%
Earlier today, Indian stock markets ended the week on a winning note. It was the sixth straight gains for equity markets. Source: Reuters
US Markets were trading in the green on Friday with Dow 30 trading at 30,678.80, up by 345.25 points or1.14 per cent. While S&P 500 was trading at 3,701.66, up by 35.88 points or 0.98 per cent and Nasdaq Composite 10,690.60 was also up 75.75 points or 0.71 per cent. A Reuters report said that today’s strength was on the back of a report which said the Federal Reserve will likely debate on signaling plans for a smaller interest rate hike in December, reversing declines set off by social media firms after Snap Inc’s ad warning.

Source: Comex

Nasdaq Top Gainers and Losers

Source: Nasdaq

Earlier today, Indian stock markets ended the week on a winning note. It was the sixth straight gains for equity markets. The BSE Sensex ended at 59,307.15, up by 104.25 points or 0.18 per cent from the Thursday closing level. Meanwhile, the Nifty50 index closed at 17,590.00, higher by 26.05 points or 0.15 per cent. In the 30-share Sensex, 13 stocks gained while the remaining 17 ended on the losing side. In the 50-stock Nifty50, 21 stocks advanced while 29 declined.